OxBlog

Friday, March 21, 2003

# Posted 9:51 PM by Ariel David Adesnik  

TURKS AND KURDS: The Cougars are getting worried about the presence of Turkish commandos in Northern Iraq. According to Reuters,
Turkey has spoken of not going beyond a "buffer zone" reaching some 20 km (12 miles) into northern Iraq but said it could go deeper if its national interests were threatened.
While that doesn't sound good, I sense that the Turkish refusal to host US ground forces will ensure that the US keeps Turkish interference to a minimum.

On a related note, the Cougars think that this CNN article constitutes evidence of an Arab backlash. But I'm not impressed. None of the protests mentioned by CNN had more than 10,000 marchers.

Perhaps more importantly, the Cougars ought to recall my statement that
even those [Arabs] who are not firmly anti-American will be deeply suspicious of American motives. Thus, there may well be riots or other disturbances. However, if it becomes clear that the West has replaced Saddam with a government more democratic than any other in the Middle East, the initial outburst of anti-Americansim will abate.
A real backlash will have to entail more than ineffective protests.

CORRECTION: According to the AP, the Cairo protest hit 10,000 and the one Yemen hit 30,000.
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